Conversation with Merlin [email protected] · Mon Dec 11 2023

"Ukraine's Retreat, NATO Debacle, and BRICS Outplay US"

Ukraine's situation is worsening every day:

  • The economic situation, Western support, and political events are all contributing to Kiev's eventual defeat
  • The Ukrainian leadership and the West are unable to find alternative routes out of the disaster

Reports from Maxim Tarker and El Pais highlight low ammunition, suffering losses, and the crucial importance of defending Avdeevka in Ukraine.:

  • New reports from Maxim Tarker and El Pais corroborate the critical situation around Stavropolye and the 47th Mechanized Brigade's struggle to defend against Russian attacks.
  • The devastating effect of losing Avdeevka on Ukrainian forces, and the challenges faced in ammunition supply, particularly from the Western allies amidst conflicting reports on ammunition production in the United States were highlighted.

US struggles to supply Ukraine with ammunition:

  • The US faces logistical challenges in supplying ammunition to Ukraine, with issues like machinery breakdowns and seasonal factors affecting production.
  • Russia, on the other hand, has several factories producing shells, which helps in balancing out production imbalances.

Biden's administration miscalculated aid for Ukraine amidst political battle within the Republican Party:

  • Miscalculation due to lack of understanding the nature of the political battle within the Republican Party.
  • Possible end to American aid, military aid, and financial aid to Ukraine.

Ukraine is facing a crisis with Russia's military advantage and NATO's struggle.:

  • Daniel Hannan warns about Russia's military advantage over Ukraine and the failure of the Ukrainian counter-offensive.
  • UN Secretary General's draft resolution for the Gaza crisis facing opposition from the United States, causing conflict with the UN Secretariat.

UN bureaucracy's opinion crystallized against the US due to Gaza conflict.:

  • 130 UN workers, including senior officials, killed in Gaza, leading to hardened opinion against the US.
  • Bureaucracies like the UN Secretariat and NATO have significant influence on decisions and agendas.

BRICS states are coordinating to advance a UN resolution on Gaza crisis and strengthening their integration:

  • BRICS states, including Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, are actively working on diplomatic coordination and integration processes
  • They are collaborating on formulating and lobbying for a UN resolution, demonstrating accelerated consolidation and coordination

BRICS gaining influence at the UN, while US is left isolated:

  • The BRICS are aligning with the UN bureaucracy and gaining influence.
  • The US is looking isolated on the Security Council, facing criticism from the UN.